Phase 1: Trends and signals
Identify trends and weak signals that affect the future with the help of the materials below!
Phase 2: Interpretation and choices
The future does not just happen by itself; we can influence it. Assess the impacts of trends on your own activities and choose what is desirable.
Phase 3: Shaping futures
Once the direction is clear, it is time to define the vision, discuss it and identify the solutions needed. The future does not happen; it is made.
Example of a vision: Next era of well-being
What could a vision of the future be like? Read more about the “Next era of well-being” below; it is Sitra’s vision of tomorrow’s sustainable welfare state. Its purpose is to give rise to discussion about what we want to pursue as a society.
What is it all about?
Have you used Sitra’s popular megatrend cards and would like to take the next step? Or are you wondering how your organisation’s future capability could be developed in such a way that you are ready and prepared to deal with an avalanche of new phenomena? Your wish has been heard! Welcome to the toolbox for people shaping the future.
This toolbox acts as a guide to help you shape the future and develop your organisation’s operations. It will guide you through all the steps of building a vision and you can also use elements of the toolbox for viewing, interpreting or shaping futures.
What is a vision?
A vision is an image of the future that helps plot paths to a desired future and sets goals for reaching it. A vision helps to direct current operations in order to reach the long-term goals.
Why is a vision necessary?
The demand for visions depends on the extent to which change is required from a community or organisation in the future. If the future appears to you to be a topsy-turvy rollercoaster ride, a vision might be necessary. In a complex world in which five-year plans no longer work, a vision provides a joint direction for all to aim for.
The toolbox for people shaping the future is based on proven futurological methods and frameworks. In particular, Bill Sharpe’s 3 Horizons and Minna Koskelo and Anu Nousiainen’s Futures Fit 3S process have been used. The content is based on Sitra’s megatrend work and The Next Era vision work.
How to get started
It is a good idea to start building a vision by surveying the future. After that, you can proceed to the next phases: interpretation, choices and shaping the future. You can also see Sitra’s vision of the Next era of well-being as an example of a vision.
Are you interested in sharing experiences? Contact us!
We would be happy to hear about your experiences of using the toolbox for people shaping the future and of your work on visions. In particular, we are interested in forward-looking societal visions or any plans for building them.
Please contact us by email and join the discussion on Twitter using the hashtags #SeuraavaErä and #tulevaisuuspakki.