Megatrends 2026

We live in a time of unrest marked by uncertain prospects and overlapping crises. The tectonic plates of global politics are shifting, environmental tipping points are approaching, technological development is rapid, and population growth is starting to decline in many countries. In Finland, the economy has not grown, and the crisis in public finances is challenging both the funding and the service promise of the welfare state. It feels as though one disruption barely eases before the next is already knocking at the door. Fast-moving and slow-burning crises intertwine, making it increasingly difficult to perceive where we stand today – let alone where we are headed. 

Megatrends help us gain a better understanding of the overall picture of change and the root causes behind this age of unrest. A megatrend is a general trend and a broad trajectory of change encompassing multiple phenomena. Megatrends signal global shifts that evolve slowly and are widely recognised. To better grasp recent and ongoing developments, we must look beyond listing global megatrends and instead interpret them from Finland’s perspective. What are the boundaries within which the future will be built? What is changing? And what opportunities could be seized? 

In this report, we outline the overall picture of change, and the constraints and the opportunities relevant to Finnish society to offer support for decision-making. We interpret megatrends from Finland’s perspective through four themes: people and culture, power and politics, nature and resources, and technology and the economy. 

People and culture: Towards a society of longevity. Finland will soon have a majority of older people and a minority of young people. Birth rates have been very low for years, and population growth has come from immigration. The increase in life expectancy is also a significant success and opportunity. How do we move towards a diverse society characterised by long life courses? This requires continuous learning, new forms of community and the appreciation of diversity. 

Power and politics: The transformation of the world order tests the strength of democracy. A new world order is taking shape. Finland must define its place and goals within it. How committed are we to defending and renewing democracy? We need to invest in reliable information, opportunities for people to participate and democratic innovations. 

Nature and resources: The environmental crisis demands adaptation and renewal. We have exceeded the limits of nature’s carrying capacity, and the consequences of climate change and biodiversity loss are intensifying. How can we reform our society so that it enhances the vitality of nature? Opportunities can be found in the circular economy, the enhancement of natural capital, renewable energy, and nature-based health services.

Technology and the economy: Artificial intelligence is transforming the foundations of society. Artificial intelligence (AI) challenges knowledge institutions such as research, education and decision-making. How do we learn to use AI, and how will it affect society? When used responsibly, technology offers many opportunities. Applied AI can improve productivity and create competitive advantage. The combined use of disruptive technologies is a significant strategic opportunity for Finland. 

There are many individual opportunities. However, megatrends and the current time of unrest point to a need for a broader reform. Finland needs a new social contract – a new and inspiring promise for the future. It could be built on a vibrant democratic culture, the strengthening of nature’s vitality, the bold and sustainable use of technology, a renewed welfare state, and the collaboration of a diverse and longer-living population. Finland has every opportunity to succeed in its pursuit of a flourishing future if we truly commit to the effort.