Tool
When working with trends, it is important to understand how their impacts differ for different people, species, organisations and communities. This tool helps explore trends from multiple perspectives.
Type
operating environment analysis, the power to define futures, trends
Time: 30 minutes – 1 hour
Participants: Individual work or small groups of 2–4 people
Level of facilitation: Easy / Medium / Challenging
Materials: Power to Define Futures and Trends worksheet
Developed by: Lilli Poussa, Sanna Rekola & Terhi Ylikoski, Sitra
The power to define futures refers to the ability to influence future outlooks, in other words, what is considered possible or desirable in the future. Trends and changes do not affect everyone in the same way, and different actors may have differing interests in development trajectories and the alternative futures they open up.
Considering multiple perspectives lies at the heart of the power to define futures. This worksheet helps participants explore trends from different viewpoints while also identifying future-related tensions and conflicts.
You can choose perspectives that are central to your organisation such as key actors, stakeholders or target groups. You may also select less typical perspectives such as future generations or even a forest animal. The aim is to understand how differently a trend may appear depending on the perspective, and to identify tensions, conflicts and questions of power related to the future.
“In planning, attention is often focused on large-scale impacts, while individual people, their differing needs and conflicts tend to be overlooked. This tool is useful for highlighting the goals of different actors and the tensions between them. Extremely helpful when developing human-centred services or policies.”
Decide which trend you want to examine. Then select the stakeholder or target groups whose perspectives you want to use to explore the trend. This is a good moment to challenge yourself: include perspectives you do not usually consider, but which are nevertheless affected by your activities.
If you have a larger group, you can divide participants into small groups and assign a different trend to each group.
Power to Define Futures and Trends worksheet