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Kuva: Folio Bildbyrå

Published November 17, 2015

Just 17 existing climate solutions could cut global emissions by 25%

A new report by European think tank Sitra, supported by a group of 11 world-leading institutions [1], has found that the world could cut annual greenhouse gas emissions by about 12 gigatonnes [2] in 2030, using only established and proven climate solutions. No new inventions are required, nor vast amounts of capital.

The Sitra report took 17 climate solutions that have already proven successful in 36 countries, and asked what would happen if these were scaled up internationally, using realistic projections through 2030. The findings indicate that that the solutions could go a long way towards closing the “emissions gap”, the extra emissions reductions required to limit global average warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius, as calculated by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)[3].

Twelve gigatonnes is a quarter of today’s global annual greenhouse gas emissions and up to three times the reductions that governments have pledged ahead of the UNFCCC climate summit in Paris in November. It is also equivalent to the combined annual greenhouse gas emissions of the USA and the European Union, or the combined energy-related carbon dioxide emissions of China and India.

Andrew Steer, President and CEO, World Resources Institute (WRI), said: “The Sitra report presents smart, common sense actions that countries can take to close the “emissions gap” while promoting strong economic growth. Taken together these solutions would more than double the emissions reductions in 2030 beyond what will be achieved through the announced national climate plans. Building on the wave of climate commitments ahead of Paris, this report offers proven steps to speed the transition to a robust, low-carbon global economy.”

The 17 solutions in the report fall under five categories: renewable energy, industry, transport, buildings and households, and forests and agriculture. Those that could reduce the most emissions are grid-connected solar (based on success in Germany), reduced deforestation (Brazil), wind power (Denmark), improved cook stoves (China), and reforestation and afforestation (Costa Rica).

Table 1. World’s Top 5 Proven Solutions for Reducing Greenhouse Gases

Climate Solution

Based on

Max. annual emissions reductions in 2030 (Mt CO2e)

Max. annual cost in 2030

($ bln)

Grid Solar

Germany

4,588

120.3

Reducing Deforestation

Brazil

4,007

52.6

Improved Cook Stoves

China

1,477

11.8

Reforestation & Afforestation

Costa Rica

1,323

17.8

Wind Power

Denmark

1,288

41.3

The most effective of the 17 solutions at scale, the report found, were also the most expensive for consumers and taxpayers. However, the costs can be partly offset by efficiency measures that deliver reduced energy bills. The aggregate annual cost of deploying all 17 solutions globally ranges from a maximum of $94 billion a year in 2030, to net savings of $171 billion per year. For comparison, $94 billion is comparable to the $100 billion in annual commitments to help developing countries fight climate change, or eight days of global annual spending on fossil fuel subsidies [4].

Mikko Kosonen, President of Sitra, said: “We already have climate solutions that are proven to work at the level of nations. How far can we go if we take these to a global scale? The Sitra report shows that these off-the-shelf solutions can make a big contribution to closing the emissions gap, without breaking the bank, and with no need for out-of-this-world inventions.”

The 5 climate solutions shown to deliver the greatest cost savings were as follows:

Table 2. Top 5 Most Cost-Effective Solutions for Reducing Greenhouse Gases

Climate Solution

Based on

Max. annual emissions reductions in 2030 (Mt CO2e)

Max. annual cost in 2030

($ bln)

Appliance Efficiency

Japan

475

-31.9

Vehicle Fuel Efficiency

EU

603

-15.3

Industrial electric motor efficiency

USA

139

-6.1

Reducing methane from fossil fuel production

USA

447

-6.0

Solar water heating

China

157

-4.2

The report also found that the solutions can generate further significant gains, when the benefits of avoided climate change, reduced air pollution, enhanced energy security, greater energy efficiency and resource productivity, are factored in.

Sitra and its partners will brief government officials on the results of the report at locations around the world in the coming months, starting today in Washington DC, followed by Rio de Janeiro on November 25. The Sitra report can be downloaded here and the underlying technical report, developed by Ecofys, can be downloaded here.

NOTES TO EDITORS

1. The report’s Steering Group included Centro Mexicano de Derecho Ambiental (CEMDA), Ethiopian Development Research Institute (EDRI), European Climate Foundation (ECF), Institute for Global Environmental Studies (IGES), International Finance Corporation (IFC) of the World Bank Group, Masdar Institute, Renmin University of China, Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), UNEP DTU Partnership, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ) and World Resources Institute (WRI).

2. Billion tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent.

3. Governments have pledged climate action in 2030, under a global climate agreement. UNEP calculated that the resulting emissions would be at least 12 gigatonnes above safer levels, an amount it described as the “emissions gap”.

4. Estimated by the International Monetary Fund

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